Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.000147 0.000163 0.000180 0.000199 0.000221 0.000244 0.000272
2025-08-24 0.000116 0.000138 0.000164 0.000196 0.000235 0.000281 0.000341
2025-08-31 0.000095 0.000120 0.000149 0.000189 0.000241 0.000306 0.000396
2025-09-07 0.000084 0.000110 0.000143 0.000190 0.000253 0.000339 0.000464
2025-09-14 0.000076 0.000103 0.000140 0.000193 0.000269 0.000377 0.000541
2025-09-21 0.000068 0.000095 0.000133 0.000189 0.000274 0.000399 0.000598
2025-09-28 0.000060 0.000086 0.000124 0.000182 0.000273 0.000410 0.000640
2025-10-05 0.000056 0.000083 0.000122 0.000185 0.000285 0.000444 0.000721
2025-10-12 0.000053 0.000080 0.000121 0.000189 0.000301 0.000485 0.000817
2025-10-19 0.000049 0.000075 0.000116 0.000186 0.000305 0.000506 0.000882
2025-10-26 0.000046 0.000073 0.000115 0.000189 0.000318 0.000543 0.000979
2025-11-02 0.000043 0.000069 0.000111 0.000186 0.000322 0.000564 0.001051
2025-11-09 0.000040 0.000066 0.000108 0.000186 0.000329 0.000593 0.001144
2025-11-16 0.000037 0.000062 0.000104 0.000183 0.000332 0.000616 0.001229
2025-11-23 0.000034 0.000058 0.000098 0.000176 0.000329 0.000626 0.001288
2025-11-30 0.000032 0.000055 0.000096 0.000177 0.000338 0.000661 0.001407
2025-12-07 0.000031 0.000054 0.000096 0.000180 0.000353 0.000711 0.001564
2025-12-14 0.000029 0.000051 0.000092 0.000177 0.000354 0.000731 0.001658
2025-12-21 0.000026 0.000048 0.000087 0.000170 0.000347 0.000733 0.001709
2025-12-28 0.000025 0.000047 0.000087 0.000172 0.000360 0.000780 0.001878
2026-01-04 0.000025 0.000046 0.000087 0.000176 0.000377 0.000840 0.002089
2026-01-11 0.000023 0.000044 0.000084 0.000174 0.000379 0.000864 0.002209
2026-01-18 0.000022 0.000043 0.000084 0.000176 0.000393 0.000916 0.002418